← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Zwayer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Nurnberg win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 58' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Nurnberg |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Nurnberg |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Jürgen Gjasula · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 23.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1434.71 | 1529.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.17 | 32.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 2.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.70 | 24.90 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |