← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Bochum win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Felix Bastians · Bochum |
| 27' | ⚽ | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
| 30' | 🟨 | Kevin Stöger · Bochum |
| 33' | 🟨 | Almog Cohen · Ingolstadt |
| 53' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 65' | 🟨 | Darío Lezcano · Ingolstadt |
| 76' | 🟨 | Stefan Lex · Ingolstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Christian Träsch · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 1028.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 3.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1477.59 | 1550.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.38 | 8.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 26.45 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |