← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Sep 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Brych, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Takashi Usami · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 23' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 34' | ⚽ | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 60' | 🟨 | Waldemar Sobota · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 1012.00 | 571.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1541.55 | 1483.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.46 | 25.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 26.01 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |