← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Sep 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Regensburg win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟥 | Salim Khelifi · Braunschweig |
| 41' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 42' | ⚽ | Joseph Baffo · Braunschweig |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 47' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 64' | 🟥 | Maximilian Sauer · Braunschweig |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jonas Nietfeld · Regensburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joseph Baffo · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟥 | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 30 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 84.00 | 3432.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1324.42 | 1584.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.41 | -1.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.71 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.71 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.81 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |