← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Sep 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 36% | 2.74 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 77' | 🟨 | Richard Sukuta-Pasu · SV Sandhausen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 113.00 | 448.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1456.19 | 1506.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.17 | 31.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 26.70 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |