← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Thu, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Bochum win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitrios Diamantakos · Bochum |
| 28' | ⚽ | Eduard Löwen · Nurnberg |
| 52' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 66' | 🟨 | Kevin Stöger · Bochum |
| 75' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 204.00 | 1025.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1518.39 | 1488.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.81 | -4.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 27.48 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |