← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Wed, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Bielefeld win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 80' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 87' | 🟨 | Patrick Weihrauch · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Weihrauch · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 812.00 | 446.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -0.40 |
| -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1461.58 | 1456.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.62 | -37.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| league points | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.87 | 25.89 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |