← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Wed, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Darmstadt win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Nikola Dovedan · Heidenheim |
| 35' | ⚽ | Artur Sobiech · Darmstadt |
| 51' | 🟨 | Hamit Altintop · Darmstadt |
| 55' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 60' | ⚽ | Ben Halloran · Heidenheim |
| 66' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 85' | ⚽ | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julian von Haacke · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Markus Steinhofer · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 3672.00 | 1754.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1448.21 | 1569.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.48 | 24.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.56 | 27.66 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |