← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Tue, Sep 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Sören Bertram · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 40' | 🟨 | Leon Guwara · Kaiserslautern |
| 44' | 🟨 | Fabian Kalig · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 48' | ⚽ | Sören Bertram · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 56' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lukas Spalvis · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 18.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1446.91 | 1438.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.30 | 11.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| league points | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.25 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 26.23 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |