← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Greuther Furth win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 26' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jürgen Gjasula · Greuther Furth |
| 35' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
| 37' | 🟨 | Levent Ayçiçek · Greuther Furth |
| 44' | ⚽ | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Niko Giesselmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 63' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 16.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 565.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.95 |
| elo | 1381.48 | 1466.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.14 | 53.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.95 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -1.29 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |