← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Dresden win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 48' | ⚽ | Sascha Horvath · Dresden |
| 51' | 🟨 | Marvin Knoll · Regensburg |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
| 54' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 78.00 | 809.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1342.01 | 1448.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.18 | -21.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | 1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 24.16 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |