← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Heidenheim win | 25% | 3.92 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
| 16' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 28' | 🟨 | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kevin Stöger · Bochum |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 74' | 🟨 | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 1021.00 | 3669.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1502.32 | 1434.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.70 | -47.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.17 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |