← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Sep 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Braunschweig win | 21% | 4.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 441.00 | 3424.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1567.02 | 1574.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.27 | -4.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 25.67 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |