← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Sep 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ewerton · Nurnberg |
| 48' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jeremy Dudziak · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Waldemar Sobota · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 194.00 | 1000.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1481.82 | 1542.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.46 | 15.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |