β 2. Bundesliga 2017 Β· Sat, Sep 9, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 18% | 5.42 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | π¨ | Marcel Correia Β· Kaiserslautern |
| 31' | π¨ | Kingsley Schindler Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 44' | β½ | Steven Lewerenz Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 60' | π¨ | Dominik Schmidt Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 62' | β½ | Sebastian Andersson Β· Kaiserslautern |
| 68' | π¨ | Patrick Ziegler Β· Kaiserslautern |
| 69' | π¨ | Tom Weilandt Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | β½ (og) | Stipe VuΔur Β· Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | β | 2.40 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 404.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | β | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | β | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | β | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.43 |
| elo | 1508.35 | 1461.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | β | -17.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | β | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.25 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | β | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | β | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | β | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | β | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| league points | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.50 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | β |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.75 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 24.62 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 0.60 |