← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Sep 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Waschitzki, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 49% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Regensburg win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 68' | ⚽ | Marvin Knoll · Regensburg |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 86' | ⚽ | Dominik Widemann · Heidenheim |
| 88' | 🟨 | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 88' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 3660.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | — |
| elo | 1457.43 | 1319.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.48 | 0.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 67.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.75 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 25.98 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |