β 2. Bundesliga 2017 Β· Sun, Aug 27, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | β½ | Lucas HΓΆler Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 25' | π¨ | Ihlas Bebou Β· Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 29' | π¨ | Kaan Ayhan Β· Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 45' | π¨ | Tim Knipping Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 50' | π¨ | Jean Zimmer Β· Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 51' | β½ | Ihlas Bebou Β· Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 63' | π¨ | Adam Bodzek Β· Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | π¨ | Tim Kister Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 88' | π¨ | Erik Zenga Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | β½ | Rouwen Hennings Β· Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 422.00 | 544.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.43 |
| elo | 1496.86 | 1471.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.95 | 55.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.71 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 26.57 |
| state index | 0.65 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |