← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Aug 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Bielefeld win | 19% | 5.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Florian Dick · Bielefeld |
| 46' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 55' | ⚽ | Marcel Hartel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marc Torrejón · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 89' | 🟨 | Keanu Staude · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christoph Hemlein · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 422.00 | 422.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1581.71 | 1506.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.86 | 55.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 26.00 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |