← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Aug 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Dresden win | 21% | 4.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Philip Heise · Dresden |
| 16' | ⚽ | Felix Bastians · Bochum |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Felix Bastians · Bochum |
| 56' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 63' | 🟨 | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 70' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 73' | 🟨 | Haris Duljević · Dresden |
| 77' | ⚽ | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
| 80' | 🟨 | Selim Gündüz · Bochum |
| 88' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1000.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| 788.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.75 |
| elo | 1398.24 | 1466.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.34 | -8.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 8.02 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |