← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Aug 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Heidenheim win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 61' | 🟨 | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nikola Dovedan · Heidenheim |
| 87' | 🟨 | Kolja Pusch · Heidenheim |
| 90' | ⚽ | Johannes Flum · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 984.00 | 3647.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | — |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | — |
| elo | 1536.19 | 1463.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.79 | -20.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 27.13 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |