← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Aug 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Greuther Furth win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Matti Langer · Greuther Furth |
| 55' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 58' | 🟨 | Matti Langer · Greuther Furth |
| 58' | 🟥 | Matti Langer · Greuther Furth |
| 68' | 🟨 | Stefan Lex · Ingolstadt |
| 84' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 273.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1434.32 | 1542.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.70 | -44.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| league points | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 26.62 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |