← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Aug 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Marco Fritz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Regensburg win | 15% | 6.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Regensburg |
| 52' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 57' | ⚽ | Marvin Matip · Ingolstadt |
| 64' | 🟨 | Tobias Schröck · Ingolstadt |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Regensburg |
| 79' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Paulo Otávio · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jonas Nietfeld · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 19 |
| 8 | On target | 11 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.13 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| coach days | 19.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | — |
| elo | 1568.57 | 1300.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.40 | -31.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -1.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 67.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 47.50 |
| rest days | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | — |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | -1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 1.50 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.50 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 26.16 |
| state index | -0.22 | -1.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |