← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Aug 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 27% | 3.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 25' | ⚽ | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 69' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Dresden |
| 71' | ⚽ | Lucas Höler · SV Sandhausen |
| 79' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · SV Sandhausen |
| 89' | ⚽ | Nejmeddin Daghfous · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| coach days | 780.00 | 414.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.26 |
| elo | 1480.96 | 1474.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.73 | 17.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | -1.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | -1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 27.06 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |