← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Aug 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 20% | 5.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 26' | ⚽ | Salim Khelifi · Braunschweig |
| 35' | 🟨 | Christoffer Nyman · Braunschweig |
| 37' | 🟨 | Christian Tiffert · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 43' | 🟨 | Fabian Kalig · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 50' | 🟨 | Hendrick Zuck · Braunschweig |
| 69' | 🟨 | Philipp Riese · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 83' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 3396.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1586.43 | 1420.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.45 | -31.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.55 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 25.46 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.83 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |