← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Wed, Aug 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Badstubner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 22' | ⚽ | Maximilian Thiel · Heidenheim |
| 31' | ⚽ | Cebio Soukou · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 37' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 76' | 🟥 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 82' | ⚽ | Marcel Titsch-Rivero · Heidenheim |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 3630.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.54 |
| elo | 1481.88 | 1426.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.77 | -11.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 26.90 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |