← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Aug 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Siebert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Heidenheim win | 27% | 3.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Robert Strauss · Heidenheim |
| 28' | ⚽ (og) | Mathias Wittek · Braunschweig |
| 80' | ⚽ | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3383.00 | 3626.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | — |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | — |
| elo | 1577.40 | 1490.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.52 | 2.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.59 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 30.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | — |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | — |
| skill v1 | -1.67 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.59 | 26.67 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.97 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |