← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Aug 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Korbinian Vollmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 43' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nejmeddin Daghfous · SV Sandhausen |
| 70' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| coach days | 399.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.52 |
| elo | 1462.93 | 1580.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.07 |
| eye test v1 | -1.33 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | -1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.32 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |