β 2. Bundesliga 2017 Β· Sun, Jul 30, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Benjamin Cortus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | β½ (pen) | Richard Sukuta-Pasu Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 26' | π¨ | Tim Kister Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 34' | π¨ | Kenneth Kronholm Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 35' | β½ | Philipp Klingmann Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 43' | π¨ | Philipp Klingmann Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 75' | β½ | Steven Lewerenz Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | π¨ | Denis Linsmayer Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | π¨ | Marvin Ducksch Β· Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | β½ | Marvin Ducksch Β· Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | β | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | β | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | β | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | β | 0.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 363.00 | 394.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | β | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | β | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | β | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 2.56 |
| elo | 1500.00 | 1460.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | β | 10.54 |
| eye test v1 | β | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | β | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | β | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | β | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | β | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | β | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | β | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | β | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | β | 1.00 |
| matches since win | β | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | β | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | β | 46.00 |
| rest days | β | 30.00 |
| skill v1 | β | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | β | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | β | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | β | 2.60 |
| squad age | β | 26.28 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | β | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | β | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | β | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 1.20 |