← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Jul 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 25' | ⚽ (og) | Marius Müller · Nurnberg |
| 51' | 🟨 | Christoph Moritz · Kaiserslautern |
| 54' | ⚽ | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lukas Spalvis · Kaiserslautern |
| 62' | 🟨 | Gino Fechner · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 151.00 | 424.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1474.87 | 1487.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.20 | 8.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.14 | 24.33 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |