← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Jul 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Regensburg win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Christoph Hemlein · Bielefeld |
| 14' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 23' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 35' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 39' | ⚽ | Keanu Staude · Bielefeld |
| 61' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 84' | 🟥 | Nils Teixeira · Bielefeld |
| 89' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andraž Šporar · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andraž Šporar · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| coach days | 393.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | — |
| elo | 1478.96 | 1310.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.42 | -34.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | — |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | — |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | — |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | — |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | — |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | — |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | — |
| squad age | 26.67 | — |
| state index | 0.32 | -1.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.54 | — |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.47 | — |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | — |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |