← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Jul 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Benedikt Kirsch · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | ⚽ | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kevin Großkreutz · Darmstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nik Omladič · Greuther Furth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 1701.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1538.86 | 1462.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.57 | -10.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.59 | 25.87 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |