← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Fri, Jul 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastian Dankert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jan-Philipp Kalla · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 65' | ⚽ | Christopher Buchtmann · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 970.00 | 955.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1502.14 | 1544.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.39 | 53.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.85 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.83 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 28.33 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |