← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jun 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Lugo win | 20% | 4.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Nano · Almeria |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 64' | 🟨 | Renê · Almeria |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 69' | ⚽ | Fidel · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 336.00 | 458.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1424.58 | 1430.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.52 | 8.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 61.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 27.18 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |