← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 82% | 1.18 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.11 |
| Lugo win | 6% | 16.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
| 17' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Roberto Fernández · Lugo |
| 40' | ⚽ | Álex Moreno · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 42' | 🟨 | Unai López · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 51' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 480.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1573.67 | 1429.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.72 | 4.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| league points | 78.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 26.56 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |