← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 77% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.53 |
| Lorca FC win | 8% | 12.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 70' | ⚽ | Unai García · CA Osasuna |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Federico Vega · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 360.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| venue | Estadio El Sadar |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.00 |
| -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1510.75 | 1323.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.21 | 11.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| league points | 68.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 0.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |