← Segunda División 2017 · Mon, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Álex Gallar · Huesca |
| 23' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Huesca |
| 38' | ⚽ | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 42' | 🟨 | Rajko Brežančić · Huesca |
| 48' | 🟨 | Moi Gómez · Huesca |
| 59' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 78' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.63 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 324.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1441.66 | 1563.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.32 | 34.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 61.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.03 | 26.14 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |