← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 53% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Albacete win | 19% | 5.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 21' | 🟨 | Jon Erice · Albacete |
| 22' | ⚽ | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 28' | ⚽ | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 42' | ⚽ | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 53' | 🟨 | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 56' | ⚽ | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mikel González · Zaragoza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Borja Iglesias · Zaragoza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| coach days | 323.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1527.29 | 1419.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.28 | -23.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.71 |
| league points | 69.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -2.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 28.36 |
| state index | 0.19 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -1.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |