← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| CA Osasuna win | 28% | 3.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Lillo Castellano · CA Osasuna |
| 21' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 28' | 🟨 | Quique · CA Osasuna |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pere Milla · Numancia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Quique · CA Osasuna |
| 85' | 🟨 | Oier · CA Osasuna |
| 85' | 🟨 | Manu Herrera · CA Osasuna |
| 90' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 1084.00 | 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1495.68 | 1509.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.85 | 16.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| league points | 67.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 27.96 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |