← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | David García · Cultural Leonesa |
| 57' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ángel García · Cultural Leonesa |
| 81' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Cultural Leonesa |
| 82' | 🟨 | Samuel Delgado · Cultural Leonesa |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ángel Bastos · Cultural Leonesa |
| 86' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cultural Leonesa | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Reino de Leon |
| coach days | 742.00 | 316.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1441.75 | 1439.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.52 | 0.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 50.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 27.10 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |