← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Albacete win | 13% | 7.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Mickael Gaffoor · Albacete |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 16' | ⚽ | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 43' | 🟨 | Carlos Delgado · Albacete |
| 51' | ⚽ | Toni Villa · Valladolid |
| 64' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 69' | 🟨 | Anuar · Valladolid |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 74' | 🟨 | Chus Herrero · Albacete |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 41.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1514.71 | 1424.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.40 | -15.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.76 |
| league points | 65.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 61.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -2.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.70 | 28.14 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -2.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |