← Segunda División 2017 · Mon, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Eiriz Mata, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 30% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 310.00 | 460.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 6.00 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1467.81 | 1603.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.44 | 27.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 59.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |