← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.75 |
| Albacete win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Cadiz win | 30% | 3.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 39' | 🟨 | Brian Oliván · Cadiz |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Héctor Hernández · Albacete |
| 42' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Cadiz |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 72' | 🟨 | Carlos Delgado · Albacete |
| 81' | 🟨 | Servando · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javi Acuña · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 217.00 | 765.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1422.79 | 1559.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.67 | -18.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| league points | 53.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.33 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 27.41 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.93 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |