← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 67% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.41 |
| Lorca FC win | 11% | 8.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Juan Pina · Lorca FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
| 34' | 🟥 | Juan Pina · Lorca FC |
| 35' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Juan Forlin · Oviedo |
| 74' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| coach days | 309.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1501.06 | 1329.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.08 | 25.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | — |
| league points | 63.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.89 | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |