← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Inaki Vicandi Garrido, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Lorca FC win | 19% | 5.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Tomislav Gomelt · Lorca FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 46' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 87' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 295.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1429.35 | 1312.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.26 | 5.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 52.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |