← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Almeria win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | ⚽ | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 70' | 🟨 | Marco Motta · Almeria |
| 80' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Zaragoza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 85' | ⚽ | Borja Iglesias · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pablo Caballero · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| coach days | 294.00 | 416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1511.00 | 1427.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.04 | -27.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.70 |
| league points | 59.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.18 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |