← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Eiriz Mata, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Valladolid win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Juan Forlin · Oviedo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 53' | 🟨 | Javi Moyano · Valladolid |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 62' | ⚽ (og) | Ramon Folch · Valladolid |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ramon Folch · Oviedo |
| 87' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| coach days | 293.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1528.81 | 1489.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.72 | -21.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 63.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.49 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.12 | 28.77 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |