← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
| Zaragoza win | 17% | 5.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 438.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1582.85 | 1517.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.49 | -3.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.86 |
| league points | 66.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |