← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.56 |
| Lorca FC win | 14% | 7.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
| 33' | 🟨 | — · Cordoba |
| 35' | 🟨 | Carlos Peña · Lorca FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Cordoba |
| 40' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
| 53' | 🟥 | Tomislav Gomelt · Lorca FC |
| 71' | 🟨 | Edu Ramos · Cordoba |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sergi Guardiola · Cordoba |
| 77' | ⚽ | Juan Narváez · Cordoba |
| 89' | 🟨 | Saša Jovanović · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 66.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1409.07 | 1316.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.74 | -4.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| league points | 33.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |