← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Lugo win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 25' | 🟨 | Josete · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟥 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Toché · Oviedo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Chuli · Lugo |
| 78' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 82' | ⚽ | Diegui · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Forlin · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 281.00 | 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1449.38 | 1512.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.00 | -27.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 52.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 28.91 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |