← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Albacete win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 188.00 | 430.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1444.46 | 1574.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.39 | -5.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| league points | 51.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.67 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.45 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.65 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |